Alan
Leal
Research on international trade, environmental regulation, and regional economics in Brazil, with emphasis on municipal exports and land use.
Ph.D. in Economic Theory, University of São Paulo. Senior project specialist, FGV Projetos. Founder, Theta Economics.
Land use, production, and exports
Research
Trade and forests
Deforestation, the EU–Mercosur agreement, and the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), studied with a quantitative spatial model and a game-theoretic model.
Dissertation
Municipal trade data
Official statistics record municipal exports at the HS4 level and by the municipality of the exporting firm. The algorithm in Leal and Martins (2025) estimates exports by municipality of production at the HS6 level, with open code and data.
Code and data
Openness and concentration
The association between export openness and the concentration of municipal exports in Brazilian agribusiness.
All researchSelected articles
Full list- Measuring forest-related depth in preferential trade agreements: the forest provision depth indexWorld Development
- Do more open economies export less diversely in Brazilian agribusiness?Agribusiness
- Brazilian exports imputation: a new algorithm for estimating the municipal production directed at the foreign marketRev. Bras. Estud. Reg. Urbanos
- Forest trade on the Amazon frontier and its interaction with the EUDRInt. J. Semiotics of Law
Policy
Recent briefs
All briefs- Export-deconcentration induction indexInformações FIPE
- Coffee market monitorDashboard
- Trade and regions: analytical indicesDashboard
- Which sectors were most affected by the U.S. tariffs?Note
